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Gonna Sell This Business!
Copyright Thomas P. Crouser, December 14, 1995
Crouser & Associates - Helping Printers Prosper Since 1985
REVIEW YOUR PRICING OVER THE HOLIDAYS.
Subscribe to the 1996 CROUSER GUIDE TO ESTIMATING PRINTING.
Originally transmitted from Charleston, WV
I received an interesting letter from Dave Oswald, Vice President,
Development of Insty-Prints, Inc. the other day. In his letter, he references
the September 1995 Crouser Report on selling the business. Since we started
our Crouser Report OnLine in October, many of you have not received a copy of
the September edition. So, here it is. I will forward Dave s comments in a
few days. Tom
September, 1995
Dear Friends. . .
I m outta here. My son and I have both agreed that we no longer want to be
in the printing business. We re both burnt out. You helped us before, now
help me sell this business. Not an uncommon sentiment nor an unnatural
desire. However, there s more to selling a business than just having it up
to here and calling a broker.
Your first priority is to understand one does not sell the business based on
frustration and expect to get a premium price. Sell out of frustration and
you loose.
Selling the business cold (to someone unknown to you) at a premium price
requires a deliberate strategy for you must sell when everything is going
right, not when it is going wrong. Unfortunately, too many of us feel like
the invincible 20 year old when everything is going right and see no reason
to sell.
I assured my friend that I would be glad to help and he sent me six years of
financial statements. I did a quick comparison and saw a high cost of direct
materials (which was increasing) and a dramatically increasing cost of labor.
This current year saw a drop off in sales to boot, which dropped his income
before owner s compensation to about 8% on $300,000 of sales. That s right.
The owner is now earning about $24,000 per year. He could get a job and do
better, which is why he wants to sell the business.
Additionally, the printer had given consideration to selling previously and
had some evaluations made which concluded he should sell for about $200,000.
One look at the current income statement and the assets which were being
passed along and I projected that he would get no more than $100,000 from a
knowledgeable buyer (you can get the most money by selling to an
unknowledgeable buyer).
But, and you can probably guess this part, This thing is too valuable to
sell for $100,000. Not based on your current performance. Sales have
dropped, income has dropped, and by the way, the creeping increases of direct
materials and labor as a percentage of sales over the past few years clearly
indicates you have a pricing problem. Pricing problem! Let me tell you about
the customers around here. They won t pay any more for printing than what I
am charging.
Poor printer. Doesn t want to sell it for its present value, but doesn t
want to fix it either. Hum. Okay, it appears there are two choices. Put it on
the market as is and assume you will receive a depressed price. The second
alternative is to fix the problem, then sell it. Of course, if the problems
were fixed then who would want to sell? That s the dilemma facing this
printer and only he can make this decision.
At What Price?
What price should someone expect for their business? It s all based on
earnings. You are only selling the ability to earn a stream of income. What
is that stream? Most look at five years of financial statements. If you have
earned $100,000 per year for the last five years, then that s a good starting
point. If you have earned $5,000, $25,000, $100,000, $21,000 and $4,000, then
not only is the stream erratic, but the trend is down. Even though the last
example averages to $31,000, don t expect someone to use that number for
earnings because the fact is you are only earning $4,000 now. The buyer buys
now not in the future or in history.
Well, but all the buyer would have to do is reduce overhead, increase
prices, fire someone and get a sales program going and this would be a great
business and earn lots of money. Right, Groucho. If that s so easy to do,
why haven t you done it? Better yet, why should I pay you $100,000 for an
antique car which is rusting away in your back yard? You would say, all I
have to do is fix it up and it will be worth $100,000. I say, it s worth $50
as is where is. What I do with it is going to go to my benefit, not yours.
Well, how does one use earnings to appraise a business? Take the business
earning $100,000 for the last five years. We would discount earnings for
wages for a person filling your role. Don t be disappointed, but $30,000 a
year probably would do it. So, deduct $30,000 from $100,000 and we have
$70,000. Now, in order to get $70,000 worth of income from a bank account, we
would have to be earning 7% on $1 million in income. Now, which is safer? $1
million in the bank earning 7% interest or $1 million in a printing company
where you have to work to protect your investment? Obviously, the bank is a
surer bet so it would be something less than $1 million.
The buyer s first benchmark is to determine how many dollars earning 7% (or
the current rate) in a secure account would they be willing to trade for your
business. If you were buying this business, would you trade $500,000? You
would be giving up an absolutely positively guarantee of $35,000 income per
year for a gamble to oversee a business and earn an additional $35,000 plus
$30,000 for your work? Eh. Maybe, but probably not is my guess. This gamble
will really have to be attractive.
However, many may give up $250,000 of secured investment ($17,500 of yearly
income) for an opportunity to earn that plus $52,500 more and $30,000 for
their work. Well, you get the idea. Where the numbers fall depend upon the
buyer s risk adversity (risk taker or risk adverse) plus their desire to
actually do this deal (be a printer). Find someone who has motive to do the
deal, ability to pay, and is a risk taker and you will receive a premium
price (like the Doctor who bought a print shop in Tennessee as a job for his
son).
A 1994 study of small business sales by Asset Business Appraisal of San Diego
and quoted in Inc. magazine (November 1994) found businesses selling for less
than $500,000 to go for 2.5 times earnings. The selling price also,
coincidentally, represented some 56% of earnings and was about 85% of the
original asking price.
How Not To Evaluate Your Business
The same article (The 8 Dumbest Ways to Try to Sell Your Company) also listed
the 8 dumbest evaluation methods. They are basing the value on:
- 1) The amount the seller needs to do whatever they want to do next - retire,
travel, new business.
- 2) Getting money back which was put into the business.
- 3) Amount needed to get seller out of debt.
- 4) Amount owner wants. Always wanted to be a millionaire.
- 5) Replacement value. Costs $500,000 to replace business, but it still may
only be worth $200,000. (Need to replace evaluation method.)
- 6) Current earnings without considering how they are earned. Shop has one
customer and that customer gets bought out and moves, Oops.
- 7) Earnings then add on furniture, fixtures, etc. When you evaluate earnings,
you evaluate the assets generating the earnings.
- 8) An offer made for the business ten years ago.
And, now, let me add one of my own:
- 9) What the seller tells you they are making under the table which, of
course, does not show up on their financial statement. Duuhhh.
There are several techniques which are used to support an evaluation as there
are several methods of evaluating real estate. However, using earnings is the
most proper way to establish a fair value. Other methods then can be used to
support this method.
Happy Trails,
Tom Crouser
P.S. The success of any sale is based not upon what the customer believes,
but what we believe. Anonymous.
1996 CROUSER GUIDE TO ESTIMATING PRINTING IS NOW SHIPPING!
Call (304) 342-5100 or fax (304) 342-5187 for more information. Don t be left
behind.
The 1995 Guide was a completely sold out!
Crouser & Associates Performance Group program includes two on-site evaluations
by Tom Crouser each year along with two group meetings. Management training is held during the group
meetings along with participation in a meeting with non-competing printers. Join others who have decided
to run their business instead of the business running them. Reply to by Email to
Tom Crouser for more detailed information or call Clark Workman
at (304) 342-5100. Or fax (304) 342-5187 or contact crouser@ibm.net.
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